San Telmo vs D. Madryn Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 17 Estadio Osvaldo Baletto· Dock Sud Sunday, June 7, 2026 18:00

San Telmo PPG 1.25

VS PENDING

D. Madryn PPG 1.38

HomeO15· +9.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

San Telmo face D. Madryn in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Telmo a 29% chance, the draw 35% and D. Madryn 36%, so D. Madryn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for San Telmo and 1.0 for D. Madryn (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Telmo are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.38 for D. Madryn. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +9.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -13.9%

Draw 35.0%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -3.8%

Away 35.6%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +2.5%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.1% Odds: 2.60 -3.5%

Over 3.5 19.1% Odds: 5.50 +3.0%

BTTS 47.5% Odds: 2.10 -0.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 0-1

4th 1-0

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

San Telmo

0.81

D. Madryn

1.05

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 105 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 75%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 73%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.38)