Deportivo Moron PPG 2.50
Almirante Brown PPG 1.13Deportivo Moron face Almirante Brown in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Moron a 47% chance, the draw 33% and Almirante Brown 20%, so Deportivo Moron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Deportivo Moron and 0.5 for Almirante Brown (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Moron are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.13 for Almirante Brown. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +14.9%.
Based on 105 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=47.3%