← Back to picks

Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 17 Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano· Moron Sunday, June 7, 2026 18:00
Deportivo Moron logo Deportivo Moron PPG 2.50
VS PENDING
Almirante Brown logo Almirante Brown PPG 1.13
BTTS· +14.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Moron face Almirante Brown in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Moron a 47% chance, the draw 33% and Almirante Brown 20%, so Deportivo Moron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Deportivo Moron and 0.5 for Almirante Brown (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Moron are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.13 for Almirante Brown. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +14.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.3%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -16.3%
Draw 33.2%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -4.4%
Away 19.5%
Odds: 5.40 EV: +3.2%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 22.9% Odds: 3.50 -11.9%
Over 3.5 12.3% Odds: 8.00 -1.0%
BTTS 44.2% Odds: 2.60 +14.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Moron
0.94
Almirante Brown
0.46

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 105 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 75%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 73%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=47.3%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org