Cardiff MU vs Flint Prediction— Wales - Premier League

Wales - Premier League Relegation Group - 32 Cyncoed Campus· Cardiff Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:15

Cardiff MU PPG 1.13

2-2 HIT CS4

Flint PPG 1.33

Over3.5· +31.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cardiff MU face Flint in Wales - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cardiff MU a 41% chance, the draw 23% and Flint 36%, so Cardiff MU are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cardiff MU and 1.7 for Flint (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cardiff MU are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.33 for Flint. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +31.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.1%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +11.0%

Draw 22.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -23.5%

Away 36.3%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -16.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.4% Odds: 1.77 +17.5%

Over 3.5 44.6% Odds: 2.95 +31.6%

BTTS 67.0% Odds: 1.60 +7.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cardiff MU

1.77

Flint

1.65

Model SuggestionBTTS +7.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+31.6%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.33)