Barry vs The New Saints Prediction— Wales - Premier League

Wales - Premier League Championship Group - 32 Jenner Park· Barry Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:15

Barry PPG 1.73

0-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

The New Saints PPG 2.53

Draw· -0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Barry face The New Saints in Wales - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barry a 18% chance, the draw 24% and The New Saints 58%, so The New Saints are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Barry and 1.7 for The New Saints (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barry are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 2.53 for The New Saints. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 18.1%

Odds: 5.40 EV: -2.3%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -0.8%

Away 57.7%

Odds: 1.48 EV: -14.6%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.0% Odds: 1.62 -27.1%

Over 3.5 23.7% Odds: 2.50 -40.8%

BTTS 45.0% Odds: 1.67 -24.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✔

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Barry

0.81

The New Saints

1.67

Model SuggestionAway -14.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -14.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 83%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.53) vs Home GOOD (1.73)