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Changchun Xidu vs Qingdao RL Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 08:00

Changchun Xidu

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Qingdao RL

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.6%0-117.7%0-27.0%0-31.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.9%1-112.5%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.6%2-14.4%2-21.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.3%3-11.0%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.1% 34.7% 2.88 -4.7%

Draw 35.7% 35.1% 2.85 +1.7%

Away win 31.2% 42.0% 2.38 -25.7%

Over 2.5 33.0% 40.0% 2.50 -17.5%

Over 3.5 18.5% 21.1% 4.75 -7.3%

BTTS 46.9% 50.0% 2.00 -6.2%

Home O1.5 33.7% 29.9% 3.34 +12.6%

Away O1.5 27.9% 34.6% 2.89 -11.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.9%

D 36% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.6%

#2 0–1 17.7%

#3 1–1✓ 12.5%

#4 1–0 15.9%

#5 0–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Changchun Xidu0.7

Qingdao RL0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CHANGCHUN XIDU · PPG 1.25

QINGDAO RL · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Changchun Xidu (H) 33.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -4.7%

Draw 35.7%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +1.7%

Qingdao RL (A) 31.2%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -25.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Changchun Xidu face Qingdao RL in China - League Two on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Changchun Xidu a 33% chance, the draw 36% and Qingdao RL 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Changchun Xidu and 0.8 for Qingdao RL (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Changchun Xidu are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.80 for Qingdao RL. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Changchun Xidu vs Qingdao RL Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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