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Changchun Xidu vs Qingdao RL Prediction— China - League Two

China - League Two logo China flag China - League Two Regular Season - 12 Yatai Training Base Stadium· Changchun Sunday, June 7, 2026 08:00
Changchun Xidu logo Changchun Xidu PPG 1.25
VS PENDING
Qingdao RL logo Qingdao RL PPG 0.80
HomeO15· +12.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Changchun Xidu face Qingdao RL in China - League Two on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Changchun Xidu a 33% chance, the draw 36% and Qingdao RL 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Changchun Xidu and 0.8 for Qingdao RL (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Changchun Xidu are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.80 for Qingdao RL. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +12.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.1%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -4.7%
Draw 35.7%
Odds: 2.85 EV: +1.7%
Away 31.2%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -25.7%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.0% Odds: 2.50 -17.5%
Over 3.5 18.5% Odds: 4.75 -7.3%
BTTS 46.9% Odds: 2.00 -6.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Changchun Xidu
0.70
Qingdao RL
0.79

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.80)

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