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Dalian Yingbo B vs BIT Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:00

Dalian Yingbo B

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDWL

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

BIT

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWDW

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-15.9%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-015.4%1-110.4%1-23.5%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.6%2-19.2%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.0%3-15.4%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-13.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.0% 64.5% 1.55 -16.3%

Draw 24.2% 29.4% 3.40 -10.6%

Away win 21.8% 18.2% 5.50 +11.9%

Over 2.5 50.1% 48.8% 2.05 +2.7%

Over 3.5 28.1% 29.9% 3.34 -3.7%

BTTS 47.6% 51.3% 1.95 -7.2%

Home O1.5 48.8% 56.8% 1.76 -14.1%

Away O1.5 17.9% 21.3% 4.70 -9.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -6.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 54% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.4%

#2 2–0 13.6%

#3 1–1 10.4%

#4 0–0 8.7%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalian Yingbo B1.8

BIT0.7

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DALIAN YINGBO B · PPG 1.30

BIT · PPG 0.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dalian Yingbo B (H) 54.0%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -16.3%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.6%

BIT (A) 21.8%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +11.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalian Yingbo B face BIT in China - League Two on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalian Yingbo B a 54% chance, the draw 24% and BIT 22%, so Dalian Yingbo B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Dalian Yingbo B and 0.7 for BIT (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalian Yingbo B are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.60 for BIT. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.7%. This match finished 3-4.

Dalian Yingbo B vs BIT Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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