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Wuhan Three Towns II vs Shangyu Pterosaur Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 22 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 11:30

Wuhan Three Towns II

PPG 0.70 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

Shangyu Pterosaur

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.0%0-113.7%0-25.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.1%1-113.1%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.1%2-16.2%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-12.0%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% 58.8% 1.70 -27.8%

Draw 31.5% 31.3% 3.20 +0.8%

Away win 26.0% 22.2% 4.50 +10.2%

Over 2.5 42.2% 46.5% 2.15 -9.3%

Over 3.5 20.6% 24.7% 4.05 -9.9%

BTTS 47.6% 48.8% 2.05 -2.4%

Home O1.5 30.6% 50.5% 1.98 -39.4%

Away O1.5 17.9% 21.3% 4.70 -9.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -6.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.6%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.1%

#2 0–0 18.0%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 13.7%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuhan Three Towns II1.0

Shangyu Pterosaur0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.2% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WUHAN THREE TOWNS II · PPG 0.70

SHANGYU PTEROSAUR · PPG 1.20

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 1.71 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wuhan Three Towns II (H) 42.5%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -27.8%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +0.8%

Shangyu Pterosaur (A) 26.0%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan Three Towns II face Shangyu Pterosaur in China - League Two on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan Three Towns II a 43% chance, the draw 32% and Shangyu Pterosaur 26%, so Wuhan Three Towns II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wuhan Three Towns II and 0.8 for Shangyu Pterosaur (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan Three Towns II are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 1.20 for Shangyu Pterosaur. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 4-0.

Wuhan Three Towns II vs Shangyu Pterosaur Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions