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Tristan Suarez vs Almagro Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 17 Estadio 20 de Octubre· Tristan Suarez Saturday, June 6, 2026 22:00
Tristan Suarez logo Tristan Suarez PPG 1.63
VS PENDING
Almagro logo Almagro PPG 0.63
AwayO15· +44.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tristan Suarez face Almagro in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tristan Suarez a 47% chance, the draw 33% and Almagro 20%, so Tristan Suarez are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Tristan Suarez and 0.5 for Almagro (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tristan Suarez are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.63 for Almagro. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +44.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.3%
Odds: 1.60 EV: -24.3%
Draw 33.2%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +6.2%
Away 19.5%
Odds: 6.40 EV: +14.9%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 33.0% Odds: 2.80 -7.6%
Over 3.5 12.6% Odds: 6.50 -10.9%
BTTS 44.2% Odds: 2.60 +14.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Tristan Suarez
1.08
Almagro
0.47

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=47.3%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org