Tristan Suarez PPG 1.63
Almagro PPG 0.63Tristan Suarez face Almagro in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tristan Suarez a 47% chance, the draw 33% and Almagro 20%, so Tristan Suarez are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Tristan Suarez and 0.5 for Almagro (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tristan Suarez are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.63 for Almagro. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +44.2%.
Based on 99 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=47.3%