A. Rafaela vs Colegiales Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 17 Estadio Nuevo Monumental· Rafaela Saturday, June 6, 2026 19:30

A. Rafaela PPG 2.13

VS PENDING

Colegiales PPG 0.25

BTTS· +12.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Rafaela face Colegiales in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Rafaela a 43% chance, the draw 34% and Colegiales 23%, so A. Rafaela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for A. Rafaela and 0.5 for Colegiales (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Rafaela are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.25 for Colegiales. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +12.7%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.7%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -18.4%

Draw 34.1%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -1.1%

Away 23.2%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +0.3%

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 22.9% Odds: 3.10 -17.4%

Over 3.5 12.3% Odds: 8.00 -1.0%

BTTS 44.2% Odds: 2.55 +12.7%

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0

2nd 1-0

3rd 1-1

4th 2-0

5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Rafaela

0.94

Colegiales

0.47

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5/Under 76%

BTTS/No 66%

Score Hit 74%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=42.7%