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San Miguel vs D. de Belgrano Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 18:30

San Miguel

PPG 1.75 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

D. de Belgrano

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.3%0-116.8%0-26.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.1%1-112.4%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.3%2-14.5%2-21.6%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.5%3-11.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.1% — — —

Draw 35.7% — — —

Away win 31.2% — — —

Over 2.5 22.9% — — —

Over 3.5 12.3% — — —

BTTS 44.2% — — —

Home O1.5 33.7% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.2%

D 36% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 23.3%

#2 1–0 17.1%

#3 0–1 16.8%

#4 1–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Miguel0.7

D. de Belgrano0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN MIGUEL · PPG 1.75

D. DE BELGRANO · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

San Miguel (H) 33.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

D. de Belgrano (A) 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Miguel face D. de Belgrano in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Miguel a 33% chance, the draw 36% and D. de Belgrano 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for San Miguel and 0.7 for D. de Belgrano (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Miguel are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.25 for D. de Belgrano. This match finished 0-0.

San Miguel vs D. de Belgrano Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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