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Los Andes vs CA Estudiantes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 18:00

Los Andes

PPG 1.44 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

CA Estudiantes

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-037.2%0-111.7%0-21.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-025.1%1-17.9%1-21.2%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-08.4%2-12.7%2-20.4%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.9%3-10.6%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.2% 44.4% 2.25 -2.8%

Draw 36.2% 40.0% 2.50 -9.5%

Away win 20.6% 25.6% 3.90 -11.8%

Over 2.5 22.9% 28.6% 3.50 -11.9%

Over 3.5 10.9% 12.5% 8.00 -7.7%

BTTS 28.6% 40.0% 2.50 -17.1%

Home O1.5 33.7% 30.8% 3.25 +9.5%

Away O1.5 0.0% 18.2% 5.50 -60.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob28.6%

H 43% / xG 0.7-0.3 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 37.2%

#2 1–0 25.1%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–1 7.9%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Los Andes0.7

CA Estudiantes0.3

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 22.9% · O3.5 PROB 10.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LOS ANDES · PPG 1.44

CA ESTUDIANTES · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Los Andes (H) 43.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -2.8%

Draw 36.2%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -9.5%

CA Estudiantes (A) 20.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Andes face CA Estudiantes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Andes a 43% chance, the draw 36% and CA Estudiantes 21%, so Los Andes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Los Andes and 0.3 for CA Estudiantes (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Andes are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.25 for CA Estudiantes. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +9.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Los Andes vs CA Estudiantes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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