Today / Argentina - Primera Nacional / A. Atlanta vs Gimnasia Jujuy

A. Atlanta vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 17:00

A. Atlanta

PPG 1.89 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Gimnasia Jujuy

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-111.2%0-24.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.6%1-112.8%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.1%2-17.3%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.8%3-12.8%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 47.6% 2.10 -3.2%

Draw 31.1% 38.5% 2.60 -19.1%

Away win 22.8% 23.8% 4.20 -2.5%

Over 2.5 37.1% 32.3% 3.10 +15.0%

Over 3.5 19.3% 16.7% 6.00 +9.5%

BTTS 47.4% 44.4% 2.25 +6.7%

Home O1.5 46.9% 38.2% 2.62 +22.9%

Away O1.5 27.9% 20.0% 5.00 +23.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.4%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.5%

#2 1–0 17.6%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 2–0 10.1%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Atlanta1.1

Gimnasia Jujuy0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.1% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

A. ATLANTA · PPG 1.89

GIMNASIA JUJUY · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.89) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

A. Atlanta (H) 46.1%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -3.2%

Draw 31.1%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -19.1%

Gimnasia Jujuy (A) 22.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Atlanta face Gimnasia Jujuy in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Atlanta a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Gimnasia Jujuy 23%, so A. Atlanta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for A. Atlanta and 0.7 for Gimnasia Jujuy (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Atlanta are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.14 for Gimnasia Jujuy. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +23.7%. This match finished 3-0.

A. Atlanta vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions