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Gloggnitz vs Wiener SC Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 34 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 15:00

Gloggnitz

PPG 2.40 · HOME

1 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wiener SC

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-14.5%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.7%1-19.4%1-25.1%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.5%3-17.0%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-16.0%4+-23.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% 58.8% 1.70 -10.8%

Draw 22.1% 25.0% 4.00 -7.0%

Away win 25.4% 27.8% 3.60 -5.1%

Over 2.5 62.0% 69.4% 1.44 -10.7%

Over 3.5 39.0% 49.0% 2.04 -20.4%

BTTS 55.4% 70.4% 1.42 -21.3%

Home O1.5 60.4% 67.6% 1.48 -10.6%

Away O1.5 32.0% 42.0% 2.38 -23.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-6

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.2%

#4 1–0 8.7%

#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gloggnitz2.1

Wiener SC1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GLOGGNITZ · PPG 2.40

WIENER SC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=52.5%

Win probability 1X2

Gloggnitz (H) 52.5%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -10.8%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.0%

Wiener SC (A) 25.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gloggnitz face Wiener SC in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gloggnitz a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Wiener SC 25%, so Gloggnitz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Gloggnitz and 1.1 for Wiener SC (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gloggnitz are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Wiener SC. This match finished 1-6.

Gloggnitz vs Wiener SC Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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