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Eker Orebro vs Syrianska Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 11 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 14:00

Eker Orebro logo
Eker Orebro
PPG 1.40 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Syrianska logo
Syrianska
PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.6%0-23.6%0-32.5%0-4+2.0%1 1-03.5%1-17.1%1-27.3%1-35.0%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.5%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-35.0%2-4+4.1%3 3-02.3%3-14.8%3-24.9%3-33.3%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.8%4+-23.9%4+-32.7%4+-4+2.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 43.1%
Draw 21.8%
Away win 35.1%
Over 2.5 66.4%
Over 3.5 46.8%
BTTS 63.8%
Home O1.5 55.0%
Away O1.5 44.6%

League track record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%
O2.5 61%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 29%
ROI -7.4%
Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.8%

A 35% / xG 2.0-2.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.1%
#2 2–2 7.3%
#3 1–2 7.3%
#4 2–1 7.2%
#5 2–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eker Orebro2.0
Syrianska2.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EKER OREBRO · PPG 1.40

SYRIANSKA · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Eker Orebro (H) 43.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Syrianska (A) 35.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eker Orebro face Syrianska in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eker Orebro a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Syrianska 35%, so Eker Orebro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Eker Orebro and 2.0 for Syrianska (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eker Orebro are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.80 for Syrianska. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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