Farsta vs Forward Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 11 Saturday, June 6, 2026 12:00

Farsta PPG 3.00

VS PENDING

Forward PPG 2.00

Home· +7.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Farsta face Forward in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Farsta a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Forward 28%, so Farsta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Farsta and 1.5 for Forward (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Farsta are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Forward. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.9%

Odds: 2.15 EV: +7.3%

Draw 22.6%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -10.5%

Away 27.5%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -14.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.4% Odds: 1.45 -6.6%

Over 3.5 42.0% Odds: 2.10 -11.8%

BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.38 -12.5%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Farsta

1.94

Forward

1.48

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=49.9%