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Ragsved vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 11 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 12:00

Ragsved

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lindo FF

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-14.6%0-22.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.1%1-19.5%1-24.0%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-16.8%3-22.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-15.7%4+-22.4%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.3% 54.6% 1.83 +4.9%

Draw 22.4% 27.4% 3.65 -10.9%

Away win 20.3% 27.8% 3.60 -16.2%

Over 2.5 60.7% 66.7% 1.50 -8.9%

Over 3.5 36.6% 45.5% 2.20 -19.5%

BTTS 55.4% 70.4% 1.42 -21.3%

Home O1.5 60.4% 63.7% 1.57 -5.2%

Away O1.5 27.9% 43.5% 2.30 -21.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -7.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 57% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.5%

#2 1–1 9.5%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ragsved2.1

Lindo FF0.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RAGSVED · PPG 2.00

LINDO FF · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=57.3%

Win probability 1X2

Ragsved (H) 57.3%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV +4.9%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -10.9%

Lindo FF (A) 20.3%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -16.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ragsved face Lindo FF in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ragsved a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Lindo FF 20%, so Ragsved are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Ragsved and 0.9 for Lindo FF (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ragsved are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Lindo FF. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.9%. This match finished 4-2.

Ragsved vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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