Nacka Iliria vs Haninge Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 11 Saturday, June 6, 2026 10:00

Nacka Iliria PPG 1.20

VS PENDING

Haninge PPG 1.20

Home· +17.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nacka Iliria face Haninge in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nacka Iliria a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Haninge 35%, so Nacka Iliria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Nacka Iliria and 1.8 for Haninge (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nacka Iliria are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Haninge. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +17.4%

Draw 22.0%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -13.1%

Away 34.5%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -22.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: 1.40 -8.4%

Over 3.5 43.0% Odds: 1.95 -16.2%

BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.33 -15.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 2-2

5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacka Iliria

1.97

Haninge

1.82

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -8.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+17.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)