Nykoping vs Fittja IF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 11 Saturday, June 6, 2026 11:00

Nykoping PPG 3.00

VS PENDING

Fittja IF PPG 0.00

Home + Over 2.5· +24.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nykoping face Fittja IF in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nykoping a 64% chance, the draw 19% and Fittja IF 17%, so Nykoping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Nykoping and 0.9 for Fittja IF (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nykoping are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Fittja IF. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +24.4%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.9%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -10.5%

Draw 18.9%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -10.9%

Away 17.2%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +1.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: 1.38 -9.8%

Over 3.5 43.3% Odds: 1.93 -16.4%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.45 -19.7%

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0

2nd 2-0

3rd 3-1

4th 2-1

5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Nykoping

3.20

Fittja IF

0.89

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -9.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home + Over 2.5 (+24.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data