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Syrianska vs Karlslund Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:00

Syrianska

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Karlslund

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.2%0-24.6%0-32.3%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.0%1-110.5%1-27.8%1-33.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.8%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.3%3-15.0%3-23.7%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.1%4+-22.3%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% 48.1% 2.08 -18.3%

Draw 24.5% 29.9% 3.35 -10.8%

Away win 36.3% 36.4% 2.75 -0.2%

Over 2.5 60.4% 63.7% 1.57 -5.2%

Over 3.5 37.4% 40.0% 2.50 -6.5%

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 50.2% — — —

Away O1.5 43.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -7.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.0%

H 39% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Syrianska1.7

Karlslund1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SYRIANSKA · PPG 1.00

KARLSLUND · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Syrianska (H) 39.3%

ODDS 2.08 · IMPLIED 48.1% EV -18.3%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -10.8%

Karlslund (A) 36.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Syrianska face Karlslund in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Syrianska a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Karlslund 36%, so Syrianska are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Syrianska and 1.5 for Karlslund (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Syrianska are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Karlslund. This match finished 3-2.

Syrianska vs Karlslund Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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