Orebro S. vs Smedby Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 11 Mellringe IP Sunday, June 7, 2026 14:00

Orebro S. PPG 1.75

VS PENDING

Smedby PPG 1.75

Away· +8.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Orebro S. face Smedby in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orebro S. a 30% chance, the draw 26% and Smedby 44%, so Smedby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Orebro S. and 1.5 for Smedby (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orebro S. are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Smedby. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.8%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -16.2%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -6.2%

Away 44.2%

Odds: 2.45 EV: +8.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.7% Odds: 1.53 -17.8%

Over 3.5 31.9% Odds: 2.30 -26.6%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.42 -21.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 0-0

4th 0-1

5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Orebro S.

1.22

Smedby

1.55

Model SuggestionBTTS -21.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -21.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+8.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 38.8%

Bet Hit 67% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.75)