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Karlslund vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 11:00

Karlslund

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Sleipner

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-111.2%0-28.4%0-34.2%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.2%1-112.3%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.5%2-16.7%2-25.1%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-01.6%3-12.5%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% 29.9% 3.35 +6.9%

Draw 25.8% 25.0% 4.00 +1.9%

Away win 42.3% 55.6% 1.80 -23.9%

Over 2.5 53.7% 70.4% 1.42 -23.8%

Over 3.5 31.6% 48.8% 2.05 -35.2%

BTTS 55.4% 71.4% 1.40 -22.4%

Home O1.5 41.4% 46.5% 2.15 -11.0%

Away O1.5 44.6% 65.4% 1.53 -31.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -7.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–1 11.2%

#3 0–0 7.4%

#4 1–2 9.2%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlslund1.1

Sleipner1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSLUND · PPG 1.25

SLEIPNER · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Karlslund (H) 31.9%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +6.9%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +1.9%

Sleipner (A) 42.3%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -23.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlslund face Sleipner in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlslund a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Sleipner 42%, so Sleipner are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Karlslund and 1.5 for Sleipner (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlslund are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.80 for Sleipner. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Karlslund vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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