Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 72.7% Odds: 1.22 -11.3%
Over 3.5 54.6% Odds: 1.53 -16.5%
BTTS 63.4% Odds: 1.30 -17.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 3-1 ✔
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 3-2 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -11.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=55.5%