Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand / Haninge vs Eker Orebro

Haninge vs Eker Orebro Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 11:00

Haninge

PPG 1.75 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Eker Orebro

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.9% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.9%0-21.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.5%1-15.4%1-24.2%1-32.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.0%2-17.7%2-26.0%2-33.1%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.7%3-17.4%3-25.7%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-110.6%4+-28.2%4+-34.2%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.5% 71.4% 1.40 -22.3%

Draw 21.1% 21.1% 4.75 +0.1%

Away win 23.4% 17.9% 5.60 +18.6%

Over 2.5 72.7% 82.0% 1.22 -11.3%

Over 3.5 54.6% 65.4% 1.53 -16.5%

BTTS 63.4% 76.9% 1.30 -17.6%

Home O1.5 77.9% 83.3% 1.20 -6.5%

Away O1.5 45.8% 45.5% 2.20 +0.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -7.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.4%

H 56% / xG 2.9-1.5 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.7%

#2 3–1✓ 7.4%

#3 1–1 5.4%

#4 2–2 6.0%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haninge2.9

Eker Orebro1.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HANINGE · PPG 1.75

EKER OREBRO · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=55.5%

Win probability 1X2

Haninge (H) 55.5%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -22.3%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +0.1%

Eker Orebro (A) 23.4%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV +18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haninge face Eker Orebro in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haninge a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Eker Orebro 23%, so Haninge are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Haninge and 1.5 for Eker Orebro (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haninge are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.25 for Eker Orebro. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +18.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Haninge vs Eker Orebro Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Predictions