Criciuma vs Londrina Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Brazil - Serie B Regular Season - 12 Saturday, June 6, 2026 14:00

Criciuma PPG 2.00

VS PENDING

Londrina PPG 1.00

AwayO15· +15.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Criciuma face Londrina in Brazil - Serie B on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Criciuma a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Londrina 22%, so Criciuma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Criciuma and 0.8 for Londrina (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Criciuma are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Londrina. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +15.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.6%

Odds: 1.60 EV: -14.2%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -5.5%

Away 21.5%

Odds: 5.80 EV: +14.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 2.10 +2.3%

Over 3.5 28.0% Odds: 3.80 +3.8%

BTTS 48.0% Odds: 2.00 -4.0%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 2-0

4th 0-0

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Criciuma

1.55

Londrina

0.77

Model SuggestionHome -14.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: AwayO15 (+15.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 39%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 59.3%

Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=53.6%