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Juventude vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 21:00

Juventude

PPG 2.31 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWD

UPCOMING

Atletico Goianiense

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.6%0-19.7%0-22.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-022.9%1-110.7%1-22.5%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.7%2-16.0%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.7%3-12.2%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 50.0% 2.00 -7.8%

Draw 31.7% 32.8% 3.05 -3.3%

Away win 22.2% 24.4% 4.10 -5.4%

Over 2.5 34.6% 38.2% 2.62 -9.3%

Over 3.5 14.2% 19.0% 5.25 -15.3%

BTTS 41.7% 46.5% 2.15 -10.3%

Home O1.5 31.0% 40.8% 2.45 -24.1%

Away O1.5 14.0% 23.1% 4.33 -23.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 172 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob41.7%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 22.9%

#2 0–0 20.6%

#3 0–1 9.7%

#4 2–0 12.7%

#5 1–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juventude1.1

Atletico Goianiense0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.6% · O3.5 PROB 14.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVENTUDE · PPG 2.31

ATLETICO GOIANIENSE · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Juventude (H) 46.1%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -7.8%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -3.3%

Atletico Goianiense (A) 22.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Juventude face Atletico Goianiense in Brazil - Serie B on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juventude a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Atletico Goianiense 22%, so Juventude are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Juventude and 0.5 for Atletico Goianiense (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juventude are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 1.42 for Atletico Goianiense.

Juventude vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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