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Retz vs Favoritner AC Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 34 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 14:00

Retz

PPG 0.60 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Favoritner AC

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 62.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-112.0%0-28.8%0-34.3%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.6%1-112.5%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.4%2-16.5%2-24.7%2-32.3%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.5%3-12.2%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% 19.0% 5.25 +29.1%

Draw 26.6% 23.1% 4.33 +9.1%

Away win 45.1% 69.4% 1.44 -35.1%

Over 2.5 48.7% 65.4% 1.53 -25.5%

Over 3.5 28.1% 46.1% 2.17 -23.4%

BTTS 52.0% 62.9% 1.59 -17.3%

Home O1.5 36.7% 30.5% 3.28 +20.4%

Away O1.5 42.1% 71.4% 1.40 -41.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.0%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 12.0%

#3 0–0 8.3%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 0–2 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Retz1.0

Favoritner AC1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RETZ · PPG 0.60

FAVORITNER AC · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.60), Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Retz (H) 28.3%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +29.1%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +9.1%

Favoritner AC (A) 45.1%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -35.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Retz face Favoritner AC in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Retz a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Favoritner AC 45%, so Favoritner AC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Retz and 1.5 for Favoritner AC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Retz are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.73 for Favoritner AC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Retz vs Favoritner AC Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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