UNA vs ASWH Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 30 Sportpark Zeelst· Veldhoven Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:00

UNA PPG 0.93

2-0 MISS

ASWH PPG 0.79

Over2.5· +24.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

UNA face ASWH in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UNA a 56% chance, the draw 19% and ASWH 25%, so UNA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for UNA and 1.6 for ASWH (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UNA are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.79 for ASWH. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +24.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.0%

Odds: 1.80 EV: +0.8%

Draw 18.9%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -28.2%

Away 25.0%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -15.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.0% Odds: 1.60 +24.8%

Over 3.5 59.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 74.0% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 3-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

UNA

2.48

ASWH

1.65

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +24.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.79)