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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 32 Sportpark Zeelst· Veldhoven Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:30
UNA logo UNA PPG 1.07
0-2 HIT CS3
Lisse logo Lisse PPG 1.73
Away· -1.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.1%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -14.3%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -10.3%
Away 51.8%
Odds: 1.91 EV: -1.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.53 -7.9%
Over 3.5 40.4% Odds: 2.31 -6.7%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.44 -15.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

UNA
1.21
Lisse
2.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.73) vs Home AVERAGE (1.07)

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