Zwaluwen vs TOGB Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 32 Sportpark Zwaluwenlaan· Vlaardingen Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:30

Zwaluwen PPG 1.67

0-1 MISS

TOGB PPG 1.40

Draw· +1.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -8.8%

Draw 25.6%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +1.4%

Away 25.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -14.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.50 -7.4%

Over 3.5 50.3% Odds: 1.98 -0.4%

BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.36 -15.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zwaluwen

2.15

TOGB

1.54

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.40)