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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 32 Sportpark Duinwetering· Noordwijk Saturday, May 9, 2026 12:30
Noordwijk logo Noordwijk PPG 1.80
3-1 HIT CS5
SteDoCo logo SteDoCo PPG 1.00
Draw· -1.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -10.8%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -1.4%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -13.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.50 -11.1%
Over 3.5 36.5% Odds: 2.17 -20.8%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.44 -21.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Noordwijk
2.05
SteDoCo
1.00

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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