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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday
Group B - 32
Sportpark Duinwetering· Noordwijk
Saturday, May 9, 2026
12:30
Noordwijk
PPG 1.80
3-1
HIT CS5
SteDoCo
PPG 1.00
Draw· -1.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.0%
Odds: 1.75
EV: -10.8%
Draw
26.4%
Odds: 3.70
EV: -1.4%
Away
22.6%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -13.9%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.3%
Odds: 1.50
-11.1%
Over 3.5
36.5%
Odds: 2.17
-20.8%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.44
-21.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
3-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Noordwijk
2.05
SteDoCo
1.00
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-11.1%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)