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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 32 Sportpark Pronsenbroek· Heerlen Saturday, May 9, 2026 16:00
Groene Ster logo Groene Ster PPG 1.53
1-2 HIT CS2
Kloetinge logo Kloetinge PPG 1.67
Draw· -4.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.6%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -7.0%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -4.9%
Away 45.4%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -9.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.53 -7.9%
Over 3.5 39.4% Odds: 2.29 -9.8%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.46 -14.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 2-1
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Groene Ster
1.31
Kloetinge
1.87

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.53), Away GOOD (1.67)

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