Meerssen vs Rijnvogels Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 33 Sportpark Marsana· Meerssen Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30

Meerssen PPG 0.50

1-1 HIT CS2

Rijnvogels PPG 1.88

Away· +5.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -22.0%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -7.7%

Away 58.7%

Odds: 1.80 EV: +5.7%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.50 -4.2%

Over 3.5 47.7% Odds: 2.17 +3.5%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.46 -12.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Meerssen

1.20

Rijnvogels

2.36

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -4.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.50)