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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 33 Sportpark Molenbroek· Gemert Saturday, May 16, 2026 13:30
Gemert logo Gemert PPG 1.69
6-1 MISS
SteDoCo logo SteDoCo PPG 0.94
Home· +11.7% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.4%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +11.7%
Draw 21.9%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -8.8%
Away 17.8%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -25.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
Over 3.5 38.8% Odds: 2.17 -15.8%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.43 -24.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gemert
2.27
SteDoCo
0.89

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away POOR (0.94)

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