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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 32 Sportpark Molenbroek· Gemert Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:00
Gemert logo Gemert PPG 1.80
0-1 MISS
VVSB logo VVSB PPG 1.60
Home· -2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.9%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -2.7%
Draw 24.8%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -4.2%
Away 34.3%
Odds: 2.38 EV: -18.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.50 -7.4%
Over 3.5 44.3% Odds: 2.12 -6.1%
BTTS 60.0% Odds: 1.38 -17.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Gemert
1.79
VVSB
1.62

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away GOOD (1.60)

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