Rochedale vs Peninsula Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Australia - Queensland NPL Regular Season - 14 Saturday, June 6, 2026 09:00

Rochedale PPG 1.50

VS PENDING

Peninsula PPG 2.00

Away + BTTS· +24.8% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rochedale face Peninsula in Australia - Queensland NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rochedale a 17% chance, the draw 19% and Peninsula 64%, so Peninsula are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rochedale and 3.1 for Peninsula (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rochedale are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Peninsula. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +24.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.0%

Odds: 4.40 EV: -15.1%

Draw 18.8%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -12.6%

Away 64.2%

Odds: 1.57 EV: +0.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.6% Odds: 1.42 +4.5%

Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: 2.05 +11.5%

BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.45 -7.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-3

2nd 1-2

3rd 1-4

4th 1-1

5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Rochedale

1.40

Peninsula

3.06

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +4.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away + BTTS(+24.8%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 89%

BTTS/No 67%

Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.50) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)