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Shanghai Port B vs Shanghai Segend Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 08:00

Shanghai Port B

PPG 2.20 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Shanghai Segend

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-14.1%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.4%1-18.2%1-22.0%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.5%2-18.2%2-22.0%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.0%3-15.5%3-21.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-14.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Draw 22.0% 27.8% 3.60 -12.5%

Away win 18.3% 17.4% 5.75 +3.1%

Over 2.5 48.7% 52.6% 1.90 -7.5%

Over 3.5 28.0% 32.5% 3.08 -8.3%

BTTS 47.4% 51.3% 1.95 -7.6%

Home O1.5 55.0% 58.8% 1.70 -6.5%

Away O1.5 19.3% 21.7% 4.60 -6.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob47.4%

H 60% / xG 2.0-0.5 / O2.5 49% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.5%

#2 1–0 16.4%

#3 3–0 11.0%

#4 0–0 8.2%

#5 1–1✓ 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Port B2.0

Shanghai Segend0.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI PORT B · PPG 2.20

SHANGHAI SEGEND · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=59.7%

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Port B (H) 59.7%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -10.4%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -12.5%

Shanghai Segend (A) 18.3%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV +3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Port B face Shanghai Segend in China - League Two on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Port B a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Shanghai Segend 18%, so Shanghai Port B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Shanghai Port B and 0.5 for Shanghai Segend (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Port B are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Shanghai Segend. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Shanghai Port B vs Shanghai Segend Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions