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Perth Glory B vs O. Kingsway Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 07:00

Perth Glory B

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

O. Kingsway

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.3%0-26.6%0-34.0%0-4+2.7%1 1-05.7%1-110.3%1-29.3%1-35.6%1-4+3.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.2%2-26.5%2-33.9%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.9%3-13.3%3-23.0%3-31.8%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 28.6% 3.50 +13.1%

Draw 22.6% 26.3% 3.80 -8.5%

Away win 45.0% 57.1% 1.75 -21.3%

Over 2.5 64.1% 69.4% 1.44 -7.7%

Over 3.5 40.7% 47.6% 2.10 -14.5%

BTTS 61.8% 71.4% 1.40 -13.5%

Home O1.5 46.9% 42.0% 2.38 +11.6%

Away O1.5 44.6% 65.4% 1.53 -31.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.8%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2✓ 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 0–2 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Perth Glory B1.4

O. Kingsway1.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PERTH GLORY B · PPG 2.00

O. KINGSWAY · PPG 2.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Perth Glory B (H) 32.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +13.1%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -8.5%

O. Kingsway (A) 45.0%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Perth Glory B face O. Kingsway in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Perth Glory B a 32% chance, the draw 23% and O. Kingsway 45%, so O. Kingsway are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Perth Glory B and 1.8 for O. Kingsway (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Perth Glory B are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for O. Kingsway. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Perth Glory B vs O. Kingsway Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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