Armadale vs Fremantle City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Australia - Western Australia NPL Regular Season - 13 Saturday, June 6, 2026 07:00

Armadale PPG 1.40

VS PENDING

Fremantle City PPG 1.17

Away + BTTS· +21.2% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Armadale face Fremantle City in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Armadale a 43% chance, the draw 21% and Fremantle City 36%, so Armadale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Armadale and 2.4 for Fremantle City (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Armadale are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.17 for Fremantle City. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +21.2%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.3%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -11.2%

Draw 20.5%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -13.3%

Away 36.2%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -0.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.0% Odds: 1.25 -6.3%

Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: 1.57 -14.6%

BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.22 -19.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-2

4th 1-1

5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Armadale

2.40

Fremantle City

2.38

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -6.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away + BTTS (+21.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 77%

BTTS/No 84%

Score Hit 45%

ROI -13.6%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.17)