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Magic United vs Brisbane Roar B Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 04:30

Magic United

PPG 0.43 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Brisbane Roar B

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.4% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-14.1%0-24.4%0-33.1%0-4+2.7%1 1-03.5%1-17.5%1-28.0%1-35.7%1-4+4.9%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.2%2-35.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.9%3-14.1%3-24.4%3-33.1%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.8%4+-23.0%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 34.5% 2.90 +3.5%

Draw 22.1% 25.0% 4.00 -7.0%

Away win 42.1% 50.0% 2.00 -15.8%

Over 2.5 65.4% 78.1% 1.28 -16.3%

Over 3.5 46.8% 58.8% 1.70 -20.4%

BTTS 63.6% 80.0% 1.25 -20.5%

Home O1.5 55.0% 57.8% 1.73 -4.9%

Away O1.5 53.9% 69.0% 1.45 -21.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.6%

A 42% / xG 1.8-2.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 1–2 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1✓ 6.8%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Magic United1.8

Brisbane Roar B2.1

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MAGIC UNITED · PPG 0.43

BRISBANE ROAR B · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Magic United (H) 35.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +3.5%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.0%

Brisbane Roar B (A) 42.1%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -15.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Magic United face Brisbane Roar B in Australia - Queensland NPL on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Magic United a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Brisbane Roar B 42%, so Brisbane Roar B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Magic United and 2.1 for Brisbane Roar B (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Magic United are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 0.00 for Brisbane Roar B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Magic United vs Brisbane Roar B Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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