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Operario PR vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 12 ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 23:00

Operario PR

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLDD

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Juventude

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.0%0-117.1%0-26.4%0-31.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.7%1-112.4%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.1%2-14.5%2-21.7%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.5%3-11.1%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.5% 45.0% 2.22 -30.1%

Draw 34.0% 34.7% 2.88 -2.1%

Away win 34.5% 27.0% 3.70 +27.7%

Over 2.5 33.0% 40.8% 2.45 -19.1%

Over 3.5 19.3% 21.1% 4.75 -5.0%

BTTS 47.4% 50.0% 2.00 -5.2%

Home O1.5 33.7% 40.0% 2.50 -15.8%

Away O1.5 27.9% 27.4% 3.65 +1.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 175 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.4%

D 34% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.0%

#2 0–1 17.1%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 1–1 12.4%

#5 0–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Operario PR0.7

Juventude0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

OPERARIO PR · PPG 1.50

JUVENTUDE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

47%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Operario PR (H) 31.5%

ODDS 2.22 · IMPLIED 45.0% EV -30.1%

Draw 34.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -2.1%

Juventude (A) 34.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +27.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Operario PR face Juventude in Brazil - Serie B on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Operario PR a 32% chance, the draw 34% and Juventude 35%, so Juventude are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Operario PR and 0.7 for Juventude (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Operario PR are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Juventude. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +27.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Operario PR vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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