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Oberwart vs Kremser Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 34 ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 17:30

Oberwart

PPG 2.13 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kremser

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.9%0-25.1%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.1%1-111.8%1-27.7%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-18.9%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.4%3-14.4%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.4% 44.4% 2.25 -4.6%

Draw 23.6% 25.0% 4.00 -3.4%

Away win 33.9% 41.7% 2.40 -18.6%

Over 2.5 60.7% 65.4% 1.53 -7.1%

Over 3.5 36.6% 43.7% 2.29 -16.2%

BTTS 61.4% 69.9% 1.43 -12.2%

Home O1.5 46.9% 52.6% 1.90 -10.9%

Away O1.5 32.0% 52.1% 1.92 -38.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.4%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 0–0 6.0%

#4 1–2 7.7%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oberwart1.5

Kremser1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

OBERWART · PPG 2.13

KREMSER · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Oberwart (H) 42.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -4.6%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -3.4%

Kremser (A) 33.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -18.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Oberwart face Kremser in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oberwart a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Kremser 34%, so Oberwart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Oberwart and 1.3 for Kremser (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oberwart are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.60 for Kremser. This match finished 5-2.

Oberwart vs Kremser Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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