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MuSa vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Group B ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 16:00

MuSa

PPG 0.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

NJS

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 73.2% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.1%0-22.8%0-31.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-03.9%1-17.0%1-26.4%1-33.9%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.4%2-17.9%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-03.3%3-15.9%3-25.4%3-33.2%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.6%4+-25.1%4+-33.1%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 55.6% 1.80 -12.0%

Draw 21.1% 23.8% 4.20 -6.8%

Away win 30.0% 33.3% 3.00 -10.0%

Over 2.5 73.2% 78.1% 1.28 -6.3%

Over 3.5 46.8% 59.9% 1.67 -21.8%

BTTS 64.6% 76.9% 1.30 -16.0%

Home O1.5 65.2% 69.4% 1.44 -6.1%

Away O1.5 44.6% 54.6% 1.83 -18.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -24.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob64.6%

H 49% / xG 2.2-1.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.0%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MuSa2.2

NJS1.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.2% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MUSA · PPG 0.00

NJS · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

MuSa (H) 48.9%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -12.0%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -6.8%

NJS (A) 30.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

MuSa face NJS in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MuSa a 49% chance, the draw 21% and NJS 30%, so MuSa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for MuSa and 1.8 for NJS (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MuSa are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.00 for NJS. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.5%. This match finished 0-0.

MuSa vs NJS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko B

Match Preview & Prediction

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