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Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C
Group C
Friday, June 5, 2026
15:30
JS Hercules
PPG 1.50
VS
PENDING
VPS B
PPG 0.33
Home + BTTSยท +80.1%
๐ฏ STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
49.1%
Odds: 3.00
EV: +47.3%
Draw
20.8%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -12.6%
Away
30.1%
Odds: 1.85
EV: -44.3%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
73.9%
Odds: 1.28
-5.4%
Over 3.5
54.4%
Odds: 1.67
-9.2%
BTTS
65.7%
Odds: 1.25
-17.9%
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-2
2nd
2-1
3rd
3-2
4th
3-1
5th
1-1
Expected Goals (xG)
JS Hercules
2.77
VPS B
2.04
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-5.4%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded โ EV is negative (-5.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
๐ฏ STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=49.1%