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JS Hercules vs VPS B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Group C ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 15:30

JS Hercules

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

VPS B

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 73.9% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.7%0-21.7%0-31.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-02.3%1-14.6%1-24.7%1-33.2%1-4+2.6%2 2-03.1%2-16.4%2-26.5%2-34.4%2-4+3.6%3 3-02.9%3-15.9%3-26.0%3-34.1%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-18.0%4+-28.2%4+-35.6%4+-4+4.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% 33.3% 3.00 +47.3%

Draw 20.8% 26.3% 3.80 -12.6%

Away win 30.1% 54.1% 1.85 -44.3%

Over 2.5 73.9% 78.1% 1.28 -5.4%

Over 3.5 54.4% 59.9% 1.67 -9.2%

BTTS 65.7% 80.0% 1.25 -17.9%

Home O1.5 69.9% 54.6% 1.83 +27.9%

Away O1.5 44.6% 69.4% 1.44 -35.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 21%

ROI -2.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.7%

H 49% / xG 2.8-2.0 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.5%

#2 2–1 6.4%

#3 3–2 6.0%

#4 3–1 5.9%

#5 1–1 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JS Hercules2.8

VPS B2.0

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.9% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JS HERCULES · PPG 1.50

VPS B · PPG 0.33

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=49.1%

Win probability 1X2

JS Hercules (H) 49.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +47.3%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -12.6%

VPS B (A) 30.1%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -44.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

JS Hercules face VPS B in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JS Hercules a 49% chance, the draw 21% and VPS B 30%, so JS Hercules are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for JS Hercules and 2.0 for VPS B (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JS Hercules are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.33 for VPS B. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +80.1%. This match finished 1-5.

JS Hercules vs VPS B Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko C

Match Preview & Prediction

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