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Perth SC vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Friday, June 5, 2026, 11:00

Perth SC

PPG 1.83 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stirling

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.8%0-22.9%0-32.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-03.1%1-16.3%1-26.4%1-34.4%1-4+3.6%2 2-03.4%2-17.0%2-27.2%2-34.9%2-4+4.1%3 3-02.6%3-15.3%3-25.4%3-33.7%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-15.0%4+-25.1%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.8% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 34.8% — — —

Over 2.5 72.0% — — —

Over 3.5 46.8% — — —

BTTS 65.1% — — —

Home O1.5 64.8% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.1%

H 44% / xG 2.2-2.0 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.3%

#2 2–2 7.2%

#3 2–1 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Perth SC2.2

Stirling2.0

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PERTH SC · PPG 1.83

STIRLING · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.83), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Perth SC (H) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stirling (A) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Perth SC face Stirling in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Friday, June 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Perth SC a 44% chance, the draw 21% and Stirling 35%, so Perth SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Perth SC and 2.0 for Stirling (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Perth SC are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.80 for Stirling. This match finished 3-3.

Perth SC vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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