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Australia - Western Australia NPL
Regular Season - 13
Friday, June 5, 2026
11:00
Bayswater
PPG 2.33
VS
PENDING
Dianella WE
PPG 1.17
Home + BTTS· +21.3%
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
61.8%
Odds: 1.65
EV: +2.0%
Draw
19.1%
Odds: 3.90
EV: -15.3%
Away
19.1%
Odds: 4.00
EV: -14.2%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
65.4%
Odds: 1.40
-8.4%
Over 3.5
46.8%
Odds: 1.91
-10.6%
BTTS
63.5%
Odds: 1.44
-8.6%
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
2nd
3-1
3rd
1-1
4th
2-0
5th
3-0
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayswater
2.87
Dianella WE
1.30
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-8.4%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (-8.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=61.8%