Eastern Suburbs vs Moreton City E. Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Queensland NPL Regular Season - 14 Friday, June 5, 2026 09:30

Eastern Suburbs PPG 1.80

VS PENDING

Moreton City E. PPG 1.20

Home· +19.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.7%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +19.3%

Draw 20.2%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -11.5%

Away 32.1%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -27.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.6% Odds: 1.30 -4.3%

Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: 1.77 -3.7%

BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.28 -15.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-1

4th 1-2

5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Eastern Suburbs

2.31

Moreton City E.

2.14

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -4.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)