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Neusiedl vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 34 ·Wednesday, June 3, 2026, 17:30

Neusiedl

PPG 1.13 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wiener Viktoria

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-17.3%0-26.1%0-33.3%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.5%1-110.7%1-28.9%1-34.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.8%2-17.9%2-26.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.3%3-13.8%3-23.2%3-31.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 34.7% 2.88 +1.1%

Draw 23.6% 25.0% 4.00 -3.4%

Away win 41.3% 52.4% 1.91 -21.1%

Over 2.5 64.1% 75.2% 1.33 -14.8%

Over 3.5 39.2% 54.3% 1.84 -27.9%

BTTS 61.4% 73.5% 1.36 -16.5%

Home O1.5 46.9% 53.5% 1.87 -12.3%

Away O1.5 44.6% 65.4% 1.53 -31.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.4%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Neusiedl1.5

Wiener Viktoria1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NEUSIEDL · PPG 1.13

WIENER VIKTORIA · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Neusiedl (H) 35.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +1.1%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -3.4%

Wiener Viktoria (A) 41.3%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -21.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Neusiedl face Wiener Viktoria in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Neusiedl a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Wiener Viktoria 41%, so Wiener Viktoria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Neusiedl and 1.6 for Wiener Viktoria (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Neusiedl are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.27 for Wiener Viktoria. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.1%. This match finished 2-5.

Neusiedl vs Wiener Viktoria Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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