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Leobendorf vs Traiskirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 34 ·Wednesday, June 3, 2026, 17:30

Leobendorf

PPG 1.80 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Traiskirchen

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.6%0-25.2%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.4%1-111.6%1-27.9%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-18.8%2-26.0%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.2%3-14.4%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.4%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 40.0% 2.50 +14.0%

Draw 24.8% 26.7% 3.75 -4.2%

Away win 29.7% 44.4% 2.25 -19.9%

Over 2.5 61.5% 71.4% 1.40 -13.9%

Over 3.5 39.0% 52.6% 1.90 -25.9%

BTTS 61.4% 73.5% 1.36 -16.5%

Home O1.5 46.9% 56.5% 1.77 -17.0%

Away O1.5 32.0% 59.2% 1.69 -45.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.4%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 0–0 5.6%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leobendorf1.5

Traiskirchen1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LEOBENDORF · PPG 1.80

TRAISKIRCHEN · PPG 1.47

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Leobendorf (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +14.0%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -4.2%

Traiskirchen (A) 29.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -19.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Leobendorf face Traiskirchen in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leobendorf a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Traiskirchen 30%, so Leobendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Leobendorf and 1.4 for Traiskirchen (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leobendorf are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.47 for Traiskirchen. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 5-1.

Leobendorf vs Traiskirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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