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Donau vs Parndorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 34 ·Wednesday, June 3, 2026, 17:30

Donau

PPG 1.73 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Parndorf

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-18.3%0-27.1%0-34.1%0-4+2.6%1 1-06.4%1-110.9%1-29.3%1-35.3%1-4+3.4%2 2-04.2%2-17.2%2-26.1%2-33.5%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.8%3-13.1%3-22.7%3-31.5%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.3% 22.2% 4.50 +19.1%

Draw 23.8% 23.1% 4.33 +1.8%

Away win 46.8% 66.7% 1.50 -29.8%

Over 2.5 63.1% 73.5% 1.36 -14.2%

Over 3.5 39.1% 54.6% 1.83 -28.4%

BTTS 61.4% 71.4% 1.40 -14.0%

Home O1.5 46.9% 39.4% 2.54 +19.1%

Away O1.5 44.6% 76.3% 1.31 -41.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.4%

A 47% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 0–2 7.1%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Donau1.3

Parndorf1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DONAU · PPG 1.73

PARNDORF · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.73)

Win probability 1X2

Donau (H) 29.3%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +19.1%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +1.8%

Parndorf (A) 46.8%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -29.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Donau face Parndorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Donau a 29% chance, the draw 24% and Parndorf 47%, so Parndorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Donau and 1.7 for Parndorf (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Donau are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.73 for Parndorf. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +19.1%. This match finished 2-5.

Donau vs Parndorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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