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Radomlje vs Koper Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 15:30

Radomlje

PPG 1.43 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLW

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Koper

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 68% chance

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 77.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a clear edge.

+21.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-14.3%0-25.4%0-34.6%0-4+5.3%1 1-02.6%1-16.6%1-28.4%1-37.1%1-4+8.2%2 2-02.0%2-15.1%2-26.5%2-35.5%2-4+6.4%3 3-01.0%3-12.6%3-23.3%3-32.8%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.5% 19.6% 5.10 +14.8%

Draw 18.4% 25.3% 3.95 -27.3%

Away win 59.1% 64.1% 1.56 -7.8%

Over 2.5 77.4% 63.7% 1.57 +21.5%

Over 3.5 58.3% 42.0% 2.38 +38.8%

BTTS 72.5% 66.7% 1.50 +8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 60.8%

Bet Hit 92%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob72.5%

A 59% / xG 1.5-2.5 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 72%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.4%

#2 1–3 7.1%

#3 1–1 6.6%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radomlje1.5

Koper2.5

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.4% · O3.5 PROB 58.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RADOMLJE · PPG 1.43

KOPER · PPG 1.21

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

68%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Radomlje (H) 22.5%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +14.8%

Draw 18.4%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -27.3%

Koper (A) 59.1%

ODDS 1.56 · IMPLIED 64.1% EV -7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radomlje face Koper in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radomlje a 23% chance, the draw 18% and Koper 59%, so Koper are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Radomlje and 2.5 for Koper (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radomlje are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.21 for Koper. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +38.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Radomlje vs Koper Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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