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Australia - Queensland NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Queensland NPL Regular Season - 11 Wednesday, June 3, 2026 10:00
Rochedale logo Rochedale PPG 1.20
4-0 MISS
Magic United logo Magic United PPG 0.80
Away· +9.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.4%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -17.7%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -6.2%
Away 26.8%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +9.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: 1.30 -15.0%
Over 3.5 46.8% Odds: 1.80 -15.8%
BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.35 -14.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Rochedale
2.36
Magic United
1.53

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -15.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -15.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)

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