Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 65.4% Odds: 1.30 -15.0%
Over 3.5 46.8% Odds: 1.80 -15.8%
BTTS 63.6% Odds: 1.35 -14.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -15.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -15.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)